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The
views by Azeri officials and international experts on the bank sector
status in Azerbaijan, is extremely diverse.
Recently, high-ranking officials, talking about the dynamic development
of the bank sector, gave an example of the rate of growth of the
main indexes, which are higher than the general statistical indexes
in other areas of the national economy. So, the rise of gross domestic
product in 2004 year was 10,2%, whereas the assets of bank organizations
was 58%, the equities of the banks increased by 91%, the volume
of the aggregate credit portfolio increased by 47%, including a
rise of long-term credit which increased by 58%
To these indexes, we can also add the growth of the basic balance
indexes of banks. For 2004, deposits and holdings increased by 67,9%
and formed 5126,3 milliards manats. The invested holdings of individuals
formed 2015,6 billion manats, at the growth of 60%, their deposits
amounted to 3110,7 billion mantas, an annual rise of 73,5%. On 1st
January 2005, the authorized capital of Azerbaijan banks formed
1051 milliards mantas, an annual rise of 41,3%.
The status at 1st January this year in Azerbaijan, showed that 114
organizations have a license for conducting bank operations, 70
of which are non-banking credit organizations and 44 of which are
banks. For all that, 42 organizations have the right to receive
holdings of the population, 43 of them have the right to conduct
operations in foreign currencies, 2 of them have the right to conduct
operations with jewelry, 30 of them have the right to conduct operations
with credit cards. Besides this, on 1st January 2005, 44 banks were
functioning in Azerbaijan, as well as 15 banks with foreign capital.
The credit organizations hold 350 branches. They have 1 branch,
1 representation, and a branch establishment of the bank abroad.
According to the status report, non-banking credit organizations
have 25 branches.
It should be noted that the rate of growth of the bank sector in
Azerbaijan is high enough. At the same time, foreign experts give
a rather negative view of the bank sector of Azerbaijan.
The problems facing bank managers
The International Monetary fund repeatedly notified its dissatisfaction
to the Azerbaijan Government about the absence of the privatization
progress of the two state banks- the International Bank of Azerbaijan
and the Capital bank. The role of the International Bank of Azerbaijan
must be especially noted in the bank sector. As to the results of
the year, the volume of involved resources of the International
Bank of Azerbaijan constituted 3,925 billion mantas, 74% higher
than the indexes of 2003. Of that 3,875 billion manats belong to
the share of investments and deposits. It constitutes 76% of the
total index of the bank sector which is 4% higher than the level
of 2003. In other words, it means that the State practically controls
and manages the operations of the lion's share of the bank sector.
As is known all over the world, the State is always considered to
be a bad manager, and is often found guilty of creating a "greenhouse"
position for itself.
Of course, this wasn't overlooked by research conducted by international
organizations which conferred the low index of economical freedom
in the bank sector of Azerbaijan. So, the American Heritage fund,
a Commercial Department of USA, especially emphasized the lack of
credit resources to be the main obstacle in the way of development
of private business in Azerbaijan. Except for the donor credit lines,
no credit resources exist in the country with the period of more
than 12-18 months.
High credit rates can also be added to the above-mentioned problems.
Today, credit given by the commercial banks ranges from 15% to 30%
a year. Sure, there are state credits suggested by the commercial
banks with 7% a year, for entrepreneurs to support enterprises with
the line of the National fund. But these credits face a risk of
never being returned. In addition, we need to remember the problems
related to the degree of credit given to one project by the commercial
bank, which obviously does not allow the entrepreneurs to realize
any solid project.
Doubtlessly, there arise some questions, how do the managers of
commercial banks react to these situations? What problems especially
disturb the bank circles?
Bankers are not against the monopolization of
the International Bank of Azerbaijan
During conversations with bankers of the leading commercial banks,
the monopoly of the International Bank of Azerbaijan does not make
any negative response to their activity. Besides, during separate
conversations the bankers expressed their opinions that the Azerbaijan
Government had better reestablish the activity of the State Agrarian
Bank.
At present, credit lines under the projects of the World Bank, the
European Council and others are directly realized by means of the
non-banking credit organization "Agrarkredit". The authority
of the country is currently trying to strengthen financial streams
to the agrarian sector, but the commercial banks are not eager to
take the burdens and risks of crediting the agrarian sector.
Basically for today, the commercial banks give credit to businessmen
on the security of their real estate located in the centre of the
city. Certainly, properties in regions are less valuable, and there
are problems concerning its liquidity. If we review the above-mentioned
problems and those difficulties which are met with bank credit,
it will become clear that commercial banks are not eager to undertake
the crediting of the agrarian sector.
As the bankers note, the problem of the Azerbaijan bank sector is
that there are very few average (medium) commercial banks (according
to the international standards). In their opinion, the number of
average (medium) commercial banks must be at least five or six.
In the Azerbaijan market, there exists one unique bank- The International
Bank of Azerbaijan which is able to credit big projects, while the
other banks are difficult to relate to list of average.
It is not difficult to imagine what kind of difficulties businessmen
have in getting credit for big projects. We should not forget that
the commercial banks don't have the right to give credit over 25%
from the amount of authorized capital under one project. In other
words, taking into the account that the authorized capital of the
commercial banks achieves the requirement of the National Bank of
Azerbaijan at the level of USD 5 million, the commercial banks can
give credit amounting to little more than USD1 million under a single
project.
To overcome the deadlock, managers of the commercial banks intend
to attract the interests of international finance institutions (especially
the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development) by jointly
financing large projects or syndicating credit. However, as yet,
the commercial banks have been unable to show an example of how
syndicated credit would work.
One of the variants for increasing the possibilities of commercial
banks in crediting the real sector could be by attracting the resources
of the population, but this could create many problems for the commercial
banks.
The key word is 'Trust'
The National Bank of Azerbaijan believes the commercial
banks could still attract many resources of the population, thus
solving the problem of scarcity of financial resources. For this,
it is necessary to increase the population's trust in the banks.
From this point, the National Bank of Azerbaijan has worked out
a bill concerning "insurance on deposits" which was submitted
for consideration to the Government, according to Elman Rustamov
- Chairman of the Board of the Azerbaijan National bank. A system
for insuring holdings and deposits is already implemented in 70
countries, and it works, so this mechanism could be replicated in
post-Soviet countries. The point is that the population has not
been completely reeformed from the financial pyramid and frozen
holdings on saving accounts: "In Azerbaijan, this problem has
not yet been solved".
At the same time, the introduction of an insurance system in Kazakhstan
enabled banks to increase their volume of holdings by 400%, from
USD 300 million to USD 1,2 billion.
But even in this case, the commercial banks will need to attract
the resources of the population from 9% to 11%. It is not difficult
to understand that, if we add to that the managerial (administrative)
expenses of bankers, plus the commercial risks, then we can estimate
a 20% over a year.
Certainly this poses the question: where can the Azerbaijan commercial
banks can find other cheap resources? The answer could be found
in the control and receipt of incomes from nested resources accumulated
in the State Oil Fund of the Azerbaijan Republic and The National
Bank of Azerbaijan. In fact, the received dividends from management,
amounts to no more than 3% a year.
At the same time, during unofficial talks between the managers of
the State Oil Fund of the Azerbaijan Republic and the National Bank
of Azerbaijan, a bad perception of the working commercial banks
has been revealed. As a result, the Azerbaijan Government keeps
its resources abroad in the securities of large European banks,
which later open the credit lines with the Azerbaijan commercial
banks with their percentage incomes (margins).
It is interesting enough that international finance institutions
(like the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development) and other
large international banks, trust the commercial banks of Azerbaijan
more than the Government of Azerbaijan! Moreover, it appears that
the commercial banks of Azerbaijan can successfully obtain credit
lines and return loans with additional percentage rates to international
financial institutions and the largest banks of the world.
This clearly shows that the Azerbaijan Government should trust its
own banking system much more than it does at present.
The Top Managers Who Don't Exist
In other words, the bank sector does not develop separately from
other spheres of the national economy. Diligent work covering many
areas is conducted by the commercial banks, including the further
improvement of cooperation with international finance institutions
(the International Financial Corporation and the State Secretariat
of Switzerland on economical relations (SECO)) to address the problems
related to risk management. In many banks, action has been taken
to train top managers in the bank sector.
Today, according to bankers, top managers practically don't exist
in industrial sectors where financial streams must be directed.
With regard to the bankers, it is very difficult to find business
projects under which it might be possible to invest, especially
in agriculture where farmers are not going to return the credit
offered by the National Fund to Support Entrepreneurship. So, in
view of the current situation of the national economy, the banking
sector has achieved significant objectives, but it is still less
developed in terms of international standards.
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